XRP = Amazon in 2009

➡ Waters Above shares investing advice, focusing on the similarities between the crypto market in 2021 and the dot-com bubble in 2000. They suggest that crypto is experiencing a faster version of this bubble, with many new projects flooding the market at its peak. They also compare the current state of the crypto market to the stock market leading up to the 2008 financial crisis. The video emphasizes the importance of identifying resilient projects, like Apple and Amazon were in 2009, for potential long-term gains, while preparing for volatility and possible crashes along the way.
➡ The article discusses the author’s analysis of the cryptocurrency market, particularly focusing on the month of August due to its significance in the eclipse cycle. The author suggests that the crypto market often experiences significant changes during eclipse seasons, with bull runs occurring during solar cycles and bear markets during lunar cycles. The upcoming total solar eclipse in August is predicted to mark the start of a new solar cycle, which could potentially lead to a stall in the crypto market. The author also compares the current crypto market to the dot com bubble of the early 2000s, suggesting that only a few cryptocurrencies, like XRP, will have longevity similar to companies like Amazon and Apple.
➡ XRP, a cryptocurrency, is expected to perform well in the long term, with a potential increase in value to between $1.90 and $2.40. This increase could coincide with Bitcoin reaching between 90k to 98k. However, the stock market is currently overbought, suggesting a possible pullback. The upcoming rare blue moon could cause market volatility, but this is expected to resolve by the first week of June, followed by a market upswing.

Welcome to another day in The Matrix, this is Waters Above and today I have some words of investing wisdom to share with you all, so let’s not waste any time and get straight into this one. But if you’re new here at Waters Above, we’re empowering you to unlock your highest potential with conscious investing by combining Gematria, Numerology, and Astrology with technical analysis to inner-stand these markets and become a more profitable and holistic investor. Now with that being said, let’s take the clear pill. So in today’s video, I want to focus on this chart here with a connection that I made in my last video between XRP and the Amazon chart back in 2009, which was built off of my theory that what crypto did in 2021 mimics the dot-com bubble in the year 2000, and that crypto is just experiencing an accelerated version of this.

This theory actually originally started with the comparison between the Bitcoin and Apple chart, comparing when Bitcoin topped in 2021 to when Apple topped in the year 2000. That is why I’m calling my theory the crypto dot-com bubble 2.0, because I feel everything that transpired in crypto between 2020 to 2021 is very similar to the dot-com bubble in 1999 leading into the year 2000. And there’s plenty of similarities, obviously the overarching one being the fact that it is a nascent asset class, it is a brand new technology, and it’s highly speculative.

But another thing to mention was the fact that we had less than 2000 cryptocurrencies in 2019, and then went on to have almost 10,000 altcoins by the end of 2021, a 5x increase in projects. And most of what was created was in 2021 alone. And it was also during the time the market was topping out. So it was in the most euphoric time when all of these new projects were flooding into the market. Sounds similar, right? And that’s not the only reason why I compared what happened in the crypto market in 2021 to the dot-com bubble.

I also see clear similarities in how everything went for us in crypto recently, moving into 2025, compared to what the stock market did into the year 2008, which of course led to the great financial crisis. And it’s important to point out the fact that during the timeframe following the dot-com bubble bursting in 2001, and pretty much until 2005, not everything was where Apple was at that time. Not everything recovered like Apple did, for example. Some of you are aware, many of the companies created in that bubble crashed to zero, or they slowly bled out, going further and further to the downside through the year 2004 even.

All the while, companies like Apple were on their way to a full recovery by 2005. And this is similar here in crypto, where since the 2022 bear market, we did not get a full recovery for everything in crypto in our recent bull run. As I record this video, many projects that had notable rallies in 2021 are currently trading lower than where they were in 2022. In the bear market bottom for Bitcoin, they’re trading lower here in 2022, in where they were in 2022, in 2026 today. That’s clearly not a sign of strength.

So considering the lowest that Bitcoin went was 15k in 2022. And today we’re hovering around the high to mid 70k territory. Also the same goes for XRP, where we were seeing it trading at 30 cents in 2022. But now here we’re seeing it traded at $1.30, showing resilience, all things considered. And I’ll break down the XRP setup in a moment, but for now I want to continue building this foundation first so that when we get to how XRP fits into all of this, everything will make a lot more sense. But just to clear up what I was saying before, a lot of projects are actually lower than where XRP was in 2022, into early 2023, for example.

So XRP, on the other hand, not looking like that. Bitcoin, on the other hand, not looking like that. And there are several plays that are looking pretty good, several other plays that are showing resilience. Those are the ones that we definitely want to pay attention to. Also, just so we’re crystal clear here, I’m not saying that what we’re experiencing right now here in 2026 is the same as the great financial crisis. But what I am saying is the charts are lining up, especially when we isolate what was then considered to be a quote, very speculative investment.

Notably the tech stocks that crashed in the dot com bubble, which at the time were emerging technologies, yet now we take most of those technologies for granted. Also today, no one’s scoffed at the idea of investing in Apple, for example. So I bring that up purely so that we could stay on the same page. And we could continue to break this theory down based on the charts and the specific stocks that I’m focusing on here in this presentation. Now, I was starting to unpack before how we had a local top for Bitcoin in 2025, comparing to the Apple chart in 2008 and therefore where we are right now for Bitcoin and some of the altcoins in the crypto market aligns with the bear market bottom for the category winning tech stocks in 2009.

And that means if we are to pick the category winners here in 2026, then we might be in for a hell of a ride over the next couple years. And the recent cycle that disappointed many altcoin investors, I believe will be looked back on as a necessary experience because living through it in real time has taught us who the bad actors are. Well, simultaneously, we’re starting to see a much clearer view of who the category winners are and having this experience along with this knowledge allows us to have wisdom. So right now we have this opportunity here in crypto to pick the projects that looked like the Apple or Amazon chart back in 2009 while they were on sale and right before they went on a multi year bull run.

And the reason we can experience a similar multi year bull run has to do with this information that I shared in my last video regarding the next sabbatical year starting in late 2028 practiced in the Hebrew calendar as the smita year, which is a seven year cycle that’s tied to all major financial events, notably the dotcom bubble and the great financial crisis, which we were just talking about. And the fact that recently the smita year in 2021 was during the global lockdowns, and then it wrapped up exactly at the bottom of the 2022 bear market.

So this just can’t be ignored. And now I’m aware this event is over two years away from when I’m filming this video. You guys know me, I love to prepare you all far in advance, but you need to be aware that significant events are known to occur the calendar year prior to the smita year. For example, the C 19 pandemic that started in March 2020, which induced a historic market crash that happened the year before the sabbatical year. So we can look to 2027, for example, for a possibility and we’ll get to that in a later video.

So of course, I don’t want to get us too far ahead. And I want to just share everything as we go, but I feel compelled to share these nuances with you, just so that you’re emotionally prepared for the volatility along the way, because even though I’m anticipating the overall market to continue up moving into 2028, it doesn’t mean we won’t have any pit stops on the way to the promised land. Okay, expect several flash crashes on the way up. And that’s been the case for quite a while now. Look at what just happened last year with the April crash with the tariffs and also the year prior with the Japan yen carry trade, then the year prior to that where we had Silicon Valley bank collapse.

I mean, this is pretty much par for the course, but what happens is it’s just a reset. And then we continue higher. I think that’s going to continue all the way through 2028. So here we are pretty early in today’s video and I’m just letting you know my thoughts years out. I hope you appreciate that. So I expect several crashes on the way up. It’s been the case for a while now. It’s just far too many people at this time are starting to believe that we’re prepping for some multiyear bear market for the stock market kicking off at any moment now.

And I just personally see a lot more room to quote, kick the can down the road if you know what I mean. And as I mentioned, every major bear market aligns with the seven year cycle, the Schmidt that year. So I will continue to utilize that knowledge for my base case and disregard anybody’s emotions. And I suggest you consider the same. It doesn’t mean that my wisdom regarding the seven year cycle is going to be perfect for you, but I’m just letting you know whenever you hear people with these emotional takes on the markets, it’s typically fear, uncertainty and doubt.

Right. And the same goes to the upside with regards to FOMO. So let’s get back on track here because everything I just shared actually aligns with my clip cycle analysis. Speaking of which, my clip cycle analysis contains crucial information regarding where I see crypto heading next in the immediate short term, by the way, with emphasis on the month of August. And the reason I’m isolating the month of August is because that’s our next eclipse season. So for those of you who are new here, and you’ve never heard of this before, I use the eclipses as a timing element for my analysis.

And I’ve shown in most of my videos here how the crypto market price action relates to eclipse cycles. And to summarize it for you, all of our bull runs have been in a solar cycle and all of our bear markets have been in a lunar cycle. And since March of last year, we’ve been in a lunar cycle. You’ll see on my chart, the red boxes are lunar cycles, the green boxes are solar cycles. Also, which by the way, based on how I count the eclipses, this upcoming total solar eclipse on August 12 should be the official start of our next solar cycle.

Meaning as I record this video, we’re essentially in the final phase of this current lunar cycle as we inch closer to the month of August. And it’s worth keeping in mind that we will not have another total lunar eclipse until New Year’s Day in 2029, which is effectively when the next lunar cycle initiates. You heard what I just said, 2029. So this all is coming together now, literally everything I just showed you has aligned here. So now that I’ve brought up this upcoming August being our next eclipse season, I’ll quickly summarize my expectations for the crypto market as we move into the month of August.

And as we’ve seen in the past, with this final phase of getting out of our lunar cycle and moving into the solar cycle, we can potentially see the crypto market initiate a stall out phase following this specific eclipse season. Let me just zoom out and show you a couple examples. So here we are in the final red box. We’re moving up, which is what we’re doing now. And then we can stall out here. We were in the final red box. We moved up and then we stalled out right now. We’re in that final red box.

So pay attention to this. We could effectively make our way up into August and then stall out. And I get that might not be the news everyone wants to hear, but pay attention to the fact that it’s those two months leading up to that particular eclipse season that we could experience a notable move up. And this was something I needed to share before pivoting over to the XRP chart, since this covers the short term outlook before we zoom out and look at the big picture with the comparison between XRP and the Amazon chart in 2009.

So just moments ago, I pointed out how in the past we’ve seen a notable move up for crypto leading into the start of a solar cycle. And I mentioned the timeframe of two months. And as of right now, we’re a little over two months away from the total solar eclipse on August 12th, making that exactly around the two month mark being in the middle of next month. So call it June 12th. That would be from June 12th till August 12th, those two final months leading into the solar cycle. So keep that in mind.

I’m giving you specific dates here. I’m giving you everything you need to know. All right. Now, because we can potentially see a major relief rally from there until then that could offer a solid de-risking opportunity for those who either need the cash and want to play it conservative and smart or perhaps you potentially want to rebalance your portfolios, which would be the case for me. And I’ve actually already started taking action on that plan. As of last week, I sold off a portion of my Ethereum and my Solana to increase my position in XRP and also add a new position to my portfolio.

Perhaps some of you are aware or already investors and that new position is render. And as of right now, that play is up around 20%. So it’s looking pretty promising so far, although I will also likely be de-risking this play depending on how things shake out leading into eclipse season in August. We’ll see. But by the way, I just released a new podcast covering my investment thesis on render and shared all of my thoughts on that new investment, including the chart analysis and the levels that I’d personally be de-risking or taking profits at.

And that podcast is available now over at Patreon at Waters Above. So now let’s move on to the XRP and Amazon chart comparison, which again is built off of my crypto dot com bubble 2.0 theory. And we started here where we had the comparison between 2021 Bitcoin and 2000 Apple. And how by late 2004, we were mostly recovered for Apple from the dot com bubble crash. And then by 2005, we were pushing up into price discovery, just like Bitcoin experienced in late 2024, moving into 2025. Since we’ve had a 50% crash, similar to the crash that Apple had after topping out in 2008, theoretically making the 2009 bear market bottom aligning with where we’re at here in 2026.

Now, notice how Apple continued to move up into price discovery after 2005. It continued higher after 2005. Amazon, on the other hand, is doing something different. It’s telling a different story. Look at where Amazon was in 2003. This is 2005, and this is 2007. Amazon was doing something different because leading into 2007, what we did experience was a macro double top. Meanwhile, Apple was already far on its way higher into price discovery. Now, it’s not to say that one is the better investment because both of them were insanely successful. As you’re well aware, Jeff Bezos is one of the richest people on earth.

You know, we’re talking about something that occurred 20 years ago. This was at a time where the market was very frothy. It was kind of like where we’re at today with the AI bubble. And a lot of people are going to get affected by that and going to have their comments. And I do completely understand that there is a big difference here where these AI companies are actually making money compared to back then in 2000. It was all just absolute nonsense, but there are a lot of similarities in the disruption and the speculation and just the overall utility of it all.

And how there’s going to be only maybe three or four companies once this game of musical chairs is over. And Amazon and Apple, for example, were the few that have that longevity that made it through. Right. And I believe XRP will be one of those, for example. And that’s why I’m even entertaining this idea. That’s why I recently de-risked some of my ETH to build a bigger XRP position. Now, what you’re not going to get out of me in this video is me calling for crazy upside. I’m not even going to focus on really price discovery at all.

I feel like I want to take an approach with this channel where we come back to Earth. You know, we stay centered, grounded. We look at things realistically. And I think that’s very important at this time because the gambling mindset is really getting in the way of people right now. So you’re going to get a very mature and strategic outlook and also a very unique and nuanced outlook on how this is all going. And I hope you appreciate that. But now getting back to this Amazon and XRP setup, I feel like there is a similar setup where we have the 2018 top over here, followed by the biggest correction we’ve seen since.

And then we have this lower high for Amazon here in 2003 that aligns with where we were in 2021 for XRP. And then we have a recent high in 2025, which aligned with the top for Amazon in 2007, a double top, a double top. Then it followed by a 65 percent correction. And what’s so crazy is that’s the same exact thing that Amazon did, dude, the same correction. Can’t make this stuff up. So now that we’re here back testing the prior peak of 2021, which, by the way, Amazon was also doing at this same time, it was doing the same exact structure.

This means that if we continue to follow this overall structure, that we can have a solid roadmap ahead for XRP. But please keep in mind, this is not a one to one fractal. So I’m not saying to just stare at this Amazon chart or copy this fractal and place it over here. No, this is not something you should just blindly follow from almost 20 years ago. But what I am saying is when Bitcoin recovers and heads into price discovery again, I believe that will trigger this setup for XRP. But until then, and what I mean by setup is this breakout back test continuation.

But until then, we’re likely in a very solid zone for accumulation, meaning we are likely at the bear market bottom for XRP. And that is very good news, even though we’re not going crazy here talking about higher targets. So overall, 2026 should be where the category winners prevail. And I believe with high level of conviction that XRP is one of those category winners. Now, that covers the long term outlook, considering if we were to play out, it’d be probably a forecast for next year if we were to see this start really shaping up.

But as for the immediate short term, I want you to keep an eye on the $1.90 to $2.40 level for XRP. I’ll say it again, $1.90 to $2.40, because there is a technical zone for derisking. And that would likely align with Bitcoin hitting 90k to 98k on the higher end. And if this move happens before August, then it’s likely worth considering derisking, especially if we start to see an overheated daily RSI. And especially if we start to see the three day RSI breaking above the 70 read. Now, one more thing that I have to mention before I wrap this up has to do with the stock market, as right now it’s incredibly overbought on the macro timeframes.

I’m gonna see if I could quickly pop over to the stock chart. We’re just looking at the Dow Jones, we’re looking quickly at the S&P, we’re looking quickly at the NASDAQ, just look at this. So in this particular environment, as of right now, with us being incredibly overbought on macro timeframes, it’s of course naturally the environment to expect to pull back on the indices at any given moment. And we have to consider the fact that this upcoming Sunday will be a very rare blue moon. For those of you who are unaware, a blue moon is when you have two full moons that fall in the same calendar month.

And we had the first full moon on May 1st to kick off this month on May Day. And then we had the second full moon on the last day of May 31st coming up at the end of this week. And the last time before this that we had a blue moon was all the way back in August, 2023, almost three years ago. So with this rare moon, we could definitely experience volatility, we could definitely experience fakeouts, flash crashes, liquidity events. And if that’s to be the case, then I’m personally aiming at the first week of June for that all to be resolved.

And then I’d anticipate continuation to the upside to follow. So that’s it for today. I hope you all enjoyed this video. And if you did go ahead and share it with someone who you think will resonate with it. And if you have a list of your top three cryptocurrencies that you believe are the category winners, as we navigate this cycle, then go ahead and comment those below. I’ll definitely make sure to read those comments. I’m always interested in what my community has discovered in their research. And lastly, just a reminder, my new university platform has officially opened our doors and we’re currently running our launch event sale until May 31st at midnight Pacific time.

So if you’re interested, definitely check it out. We have a couple more days left for you to join this experience while it’s still on sale. And tomorrow, we’ll actually be kicking off our first official meeting where I’ll be hosting a welcome call with all of our university members opening up the floor for a Q&A to set the tone for the month ahead. I’ll be answering their questions. And as you can see here in our events calendar, we are kicking off things strong starting in June, we’ll have many meetings. We’ll be having my weekly clarity key.

That’s my group coaching call that I host every week, as well as a dedicated men’s group and women’s group meeting. And very soon we’ll be introducing a weekly meeting dedicated to health and wellness, and also finance and investing since we got a bunch of requests for that. So all of that will be happening in our brand new custom platform, custom built for conscious people who are looking for something that’ll teach them how to unlock the freedom to live life on their terms. And to do that alongside a community who seeks to empower each other so that all of us can thrive together.

So if you’re interested in joining our vision, you can go to the description of this video or in the pinned comment below. And you’ll find a link to our launch event at waters above dot app. And that’s where you could join today. And I’ll be catching you tomorrow in our welcome call. And I appreciate every single one of you. I’m wishing you all an amazing rest of the of your day in the matrix. Much love. [tr:trw].