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Summary
Transcript
And probably sometime next year, I’d say that by the end of next year, I think would be selling humanoid robots to the public. That’s when we are confident that it’s very higher reliability, very high safety, and the range of functionality is also very high. You can basically ask it to do anything you’d like. Then, he talks about the future robot population and economy. I mean, the way to think of it is that if you have a large number of humanoid robots, the economic output is the average productivity per robot times the number of robots.
Actually, my prediction is, in the benign scenario of the future, that we will actually make so many robots in AI that they will actually saturate all human needs. Meaning, you won’t be able to even think of something to ask the robot for at a certain point. Like, there will be such an abundance of goods and services. My prediction is there’ll be more robots than people. Next, he discusses these robots’ unsettling responsibilities moving forward. I mean, it is a necessary, like you can’t have both. You can’t have work that has to be done and amazing abundance for all.
Because if it’s work that has to be done, and only some people can do it, then you can’t have abundance. And it’s narrow. It’s narrow, exactly. But if you have billions of humanoid robots, and I think there will be, I think everyone on Earth is going to have one and going to want one. Because who wouldn’t want a robot to, assuming it’s very safe, watch over your kids, take care of your pet. If you have elderly parents, a lot of friends might have said they have elderly parents. It’s very difficult to take care of them.
It’s expensive. Yeah, it’s expensive. And it’s expensive. And there just aren’t enough people to take care of the, there aren’t enough young people to take care of the old people. So if you had a robot that could take care of and protect an elderly parent, I think that would be great. That would be an amazing thing to have. And I think we will have those things. So overall, I’m very optimistic about the future. I think we’re headed for a future of amazing abundance, which is very cool. And definitely, we are in the most interesting time in history.
I think there’s more interesting time in history. But miniature humanoids are also going to become widespread. Like this new miniature robot from Nura, this stands at 132 centimeters or four feet, four inches. And it features natural language interaction, computer vision, reinforcement learning, and it weighs just 36 kilograms, which is 79 pounds with a payload of three kilograms or 6.6 pounds. These could be really popular in the future because many people might want a smaller price point, for instance, maybe two, $3,000 instead of $20,000, $30,000 max speed, still 4.6 kilometers per hour, or 2.9 miles per hour.
And throughout the body, it features 25 degrees of freedom. Plus, it has Wi Fi six gigabit ethernet Ross two for the robot control C plus plus Python SDKs and Nura sync. And so far, what they’re saying is that it’s going to bring fully cognitive capabilities to a wider audience probably because of the smaller cost factor. So the question is, how much will this likely cost? And would you rather get a miniature robot or a full size if the cost implication could be a difference of 50 to 100% and beyond the limited form factor of miniature humanoids, full size AI robots operating factories is the new normal in 2026.
As oob tech just released this video of its AI automation now deployed in Sani Ray. So let’s see some of this in action. And just to mention here, we’re looking at 52 degrees of freedom throughout this entire robot’s body weighs 70 kilograms and stands 176 centimeters tall, but it does have a realistic human gate. And more importantly, it has this dexterity in its hands. And you see it carrying out the sorting tasks with the conveyor belt and the bolt. And you’ll see here in just a second, some very dexterous maneuvering of its hands.
Already, this is working in the real world. And it supports LLM voice interactions with the human workforce. And it uses a four inch circular facial display as well as its four array microphones and two speakers to be able to go back and forth with the remaining human workforce. In its hands, it’s working with 11 degrees of freedom with six tactile sensor arrays. But you can see that you can also change out these hands with what you see here more of a gripper. So it can carry grasp 7.5 kilograms at a time.
And in each finger, it has a grasp force of one kilogram. So is this cheaper than a human? For instance, maybe you pay $20,000 for a robot like this in the near future, whereas a human could cost 25 to 30,000 per year for a minimum wage, plus they have the risks. So would you invest in a miniature humanoid or a full size humanoid, or maybe in the future, it’s just whether it’s business or consumer. For instance, here’s another full size humanoid named the agile one. And this is designed to operate in both homes and industrial environments with 21 degrees of freedom in each hand and onboard artificial intelligence.
But what’s most important is probably its ability to walk around here has the spatial awareness, and it features a 20 kilogram payload, which in working scenarios could really make a difference. And it has tactile fingertips, which means that it’s going to be able to handle extremely dexterous tasks. And it can autonomously operate for up to eight hours with a two meter per second speed, and 71 degrees of freedom throughout its entire body with 21 of those in each hand. So this is coming up, but there’s no word on how much it’s going to cost or what the release date would be.
And finally, Elon predicts the timeline of artificial super intelligence. The rate at which AI is progressing, I think we might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year, and I would say no later than next year. And then probably by 2030 or 2031, call it five years from now, AI will be smarter than all of humanity collectively. [tr:trw].
